Lightwave Logic Stock Performance

LWLG Stock  USD 3.26  0.42  11.41%   
The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 2.31, which conveys a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Lightwave Logic will likely underperform. At this point, Lightwave Logic has a negative expected return of -0.53%. Please make sure to verify Lightwave Logic's skewness, and the relationship between the treynor ratio and rate of daily change , to decide if Lightwave Logic performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Lightwave Logic has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite conflicting performance in the last few months, the Stock's essential indicators remain nearly stable which may send shares a bit higher in March 2026. The current disturbance may also be a sign of long-run up-swing for the company stockholders. ...more
Begin Period Cash Flow31.4 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-2.7 M

Lightwave Logic Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  505.00  in Lightwave Logic on November 6, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (179.00) from holding Lightwave Logic or give up 35.45% of portfolio value over 90 days. Lightwave Logic is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 6.0631% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 54% of stocks are less volatile than Lightwave, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Lightwave Logic is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 8.12 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.09 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.12 per unit of volatility.

Lightwave Logic Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Lightwave Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 3.26 90 days 3.26 
about 88.49
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Lightwave Logic to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 88.49 (This Lightwave Logic probability density function shows the probability of Lightwave Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.31 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Lightwave Logic will likely underperform. Additionally Lightwave Logic has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Lightwave Logic Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Lightwave Logic

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Lightwave Logic. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.163.269.32
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.163.229.28
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.052.498.55
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
3.003.914.83
Details

Lightwave Logic Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Lightwave Logic is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Lightwave Logic's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Lightwave Logic, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Lightwave Logic within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.66
β
Beta against Dow Jones2.31
σ
Overall volatility
0.65
Ir
Information ratio -0.1

Lightwave Logic Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Lightwave Logic for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Lightwave Logic can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Lightwave Logic generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Lightwave Logic has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Lightwave Logic has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 95.61 K. Net Loss for the year was (22.54 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 94.13 K.
Lightwave Logic currently holds about 24.83 M in cash with (15.55 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.22.

Lightwave Logic Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Lightwave Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Lightwave Logic's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Lightwave Logic's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding120.9 M
Cash And Short Term Investments27.7 M

Lightwave Logic Fundamentals Growth

Lightwave Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Lightwave Logic, and Lightwave Logic fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Lightwave Stock performance.

About Lightwave Logic Performance

By analyzing Lightwave Logic's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Lightwave Logic's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Lightwave Logic has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Lightwave Logic has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Lightwave Logic, Inc., a development stage company, focuses on the development of photonic devices and non-linear optical polymer materials systems for fiber-optic data communications and optical computing markets in the United States. Lightwave Logic, Inc. was founded in 1991 and is headquartered in Englewood, Colorado. Lightwave Logic operates under Specialty Chemicals classification in the United States and is traded on NASDAQ Exchange. It employs 19 people.

Things to note about Lightwave Logic performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Lightwave Logic for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Lightwave Logic help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Lightwave Logic generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Lightwave Logic has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Lightwave Logic has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 95.61 K. Net Loss for the year was (22.54 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 94.13 K.
Lightwave Logic currently holds about 24.83 M in cash with (15.55 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.22.
Evaluating Lightwave Logic's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Lightwave Logic's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Lightwave Logic's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Lightwave Logic's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Lightwave Logic's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Lightwave Logic's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Lightwave Logic's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Lightwave Logic's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Lightwave Logic's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Lightwave Logic's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Lightwave Logic's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

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When running Lightwave Logic's price analysis, check to measure Lightwave Logic's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Lightwave Logic is operating at the current time. Most of Lightwave Logic's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Lightwave Logic's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Lightwave Logic's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Lightwave Logic to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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